diff --git a/P193 命题3/命题3.md b/P193 命题3/命题3.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..0b49e71 --- /dev/null +++ b/P193 命题3/命题3.md @@ -0,0 +1,214 @@ + +### 组合S定义 + +总收益定义为 + +\[ +R_P = 1 + i_F + r_P +\] +其中 \( i_F \) 是无风险利率,\( r_P \) 是超额收益。 +无风险资产的总收益是 + +\[ +R_F = 1 + i_F +\] +组合 \( S \) 是如下问题的最优解: + +\[ +\min E[R_P^2] +\] +其中 \( P \) 可包含风险资产与无风险资产。 + +--- + +### 构造组合 \( P(w) \) + +取任意组合 \( P \),构造 + +\[ +P(w) : \quad R_{P(w)} = R_S + w (R_P - R_S) +\] +定义 + +\[ +g_P(w) = E[R_{P(w)}^2] +\] +代入得: + +\[ +g_P(w) = E[R_S^2] + 2w E[R_S(R_P - R_S)] + w^2 E[(R_P - R_S)^2] +\] + +--- + +### 一阶条件 + +因为 \( S \) 是最小值点,考虑 \( w=0 \) 对应组合 \( S \),应有 + +\[ +g_P'(0) = 0 +\] +计算导数: + +\[ +g_P'(w) = 2 E[R_S(R_P - R_S)] + 2w E[(R_P - R_S)^2] +\] +在 \( w=0 \) 时: + +\[ +g_P'(0) = 2 E[R_S(R_P - R_S)] = 0 +\] +所以 + +\[ +E[R_S(R_P - R_S)] = 0 \quad \text{对任意组合 } P +\] +即 + +\[ +E[R_S R_P] = E[R_S^2] \tag{1} +\] + +--- + +### 展开协方差形式 + + +\[ +E[R_S R_P] = \text{Cov}(R_S, R_P) + E[R_S] E[R_P] +\] +由 (1) 得: + +\[ +\text{Cov}(R_S, R_P) + E[R_S] E[R_P] = E[R_S^2] \tag{2} +\] + +--- + +### 对无风险组合 \( F \) 应用 (2) + +对 \( P = F \)(无风险组合),\( R_F = 1 + i_F \) 是常数,所以 + +\[ +\text{Cov}(R_S, R_F) = 0 +\] +于是 (2) 给出: + +\[ +0 + E[R_S] R_F = E[R_S^2] +\] +即 + +\[ +E[R_S^2] = E[R_S] R_F \tag{3} +\] + +--- + +### 回到一般组合 \( P \) + +由 (2): + +\[ +\text{Cov}(R_S, R_P) + E[R_S] E[R_P] = E[R_S^2] +\] +用 (3) 替换 \( E[R_S^2] \): + +\[ +\text{Cov}(R_S, R_P) + E[R_S] E[R_P] = E[R_S] R_F +\] +所以 + +\[ +\text{Cov}(R_S, R_P) = E[R_S] (R_F - E[R_P]) \tag{4} +\] + +--- + +### 用超额收益表示 + +超额收益 \( r_P = R_P - R_F \),所以 + +\[ +E[R_P] = R_F + E[r_P] +\] +代入 (4) 右端: + +\[ +\text{Cov}(R_S, R_P) = E[R_S] (R_F - (R_F + E[r_P])) = - E[R_S] E[r_P] \tag{5} +\] + +又 + +\[ +R_S = R_F + r_S, \quad R_P = R_F + r_P +\] +所以 + +\[ +\text{Cov}(R_S, R_P) = \text{Cov}(R_F + r_S, R_F + r_P) = \text{Cov}(r_S, r_P) +\] +因为 \( R_F \) 是常数。 + +于是 (5) 变为: + +\[ +\text{Cov}(r_S, r_P) = - E[R_S] E[r_P] \tag{6} +\] + +--- + +### 解出 \( E[r_P] \) + +由 (6): + +\[ +E[r_P] = \frac{-1}{E[R_S]} \text{Cov}(r_P, r_S) +\] +记 + +\[ +\phi = \frac{-1}{E[R_S]} = \frac{-1}{E[1 + i_F + r_S]} +\] +则 + +\[ +E[r_P] = \phi \, \text{Cov}(r_P, r_S) \tag{8A-28} +\] + +--- + +### 证明 (8A-29) 第二个等式 + +由 (3) 得 + +\[ +E[R_S] R_F = E[R_S^2] = \sigma_S^2 + (E[R_S])^2 +\] +所以 + +\[ +\sigma_S^2 = E[R_S] R_F - (E[R_S])^2 = E[R_S] (R_F - E[R_S]) +\] +定义 \( f_S = E[r_S] = E[R_S] - R_F \),则 + +\[ +R_F - E[R_S] = - f_S +\] +于是 + +\[ +\sigma_S^2 = E[R_S] (-f_S) +\] +即 + +\[ +E[R_S] = - \frac{\sigma_S^2}{f_S} +\] +因此 + +\[ +\phi = \frac{-1}{E[R_S]} = \frac{-1}{-\sigma_S^2 / f_S} = \frac{f_S}{\sigma_S^2} +\] +得证。 +