P191 命题2
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@ -21,6 +21,7 @@
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\max_{\mathbf{h}} \ \mathbf{h}^T \boldsymbol{\alpha} - \frac{\lambda}{2} \mathbf{h}^T V \mathbf{h}
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\]
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这里不考虑预算约束(可通过无风险资产借贷调节),\(\lambda > 0\) 是风险厌恶系数。
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(关于此优化问题详细信息参考第6章)
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---
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@ -146,8 +147,9 @@ E[R_n] = R_F + \kappa \cdot \mathrm{Cov}(r_n, r_Q) \tag{8A-24}
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随机折现因子 \(v(s)\) 满足:
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\[
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E[v R_n] = R_F \quad (8\text{-}17)
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E[v R_n] = (1+i_F) = R_F \quad (8\text{-}17)
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\]
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且 \(E[v] = 1\)。
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由 (8A-25):
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@ -173,7 +175,7 @@ E\left[ R_n \cdot \left( 1 - \kappa (r_Q - f_Q) \right) \right] = R_F \quad (8A\
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---
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## **3. 与 SDF 公式比较**
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## **推导 \(v(s)\) 的形式**
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由 (8-17):
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@ -187,10 +189,6 @@ E\left[ R_n \cdot \left( 1 - \kappa (r_Q - f_Q) \right) \right] = E[v R_n]
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\]
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这对任意资产 \(n\) 都成立。
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---
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## **4. 推导 \(v(s)\) 的形式**
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要使:
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\[
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@ -210,67 +208,4 @@ v(s) = 1 - \kappa (r_Q(s) - f_Q) + \varepsilon(s)
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v(s) = 1 - \kappa (r_Q(s) - f_Q) \quad (8A\text{-}21)
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\]
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---
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## **5. 确定 \(\kappa\)**
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由 \(E[v] = 1\):
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\[
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E[1 - \kappa (r_Q - f_Q)] = 1
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\]
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即:
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\[
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1 - \kappa (E[r_Q] - f_Q) = 1
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\]
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但 \(E[r_Q] = f_Q\),所以自动满足,无法确定 \(\kappa\)。
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实际上 \(\kappa\) 由 \(v\) 与 \(R_Q\) 的关系进一步确定。
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由 \(E[v R_Q] = R_F\):
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\[
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E\left[ (1 - \kappa (r_Q - f_Q)) R_Q \right] = R_F
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\]
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代入 \(R_Q = r_Q + R_F\):
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\[
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E\left[ (1 - \kappa (r_Q - f_Q)) (r_Q + R_F) \right] = R_F
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\]
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展开:
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\[
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E[r_Q + R_F - \kappa r_Q (r_Q + R_F) + \kappa f_Q (r_Q + R_F)] = R_F
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\]
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利用 \(E[r_Q] = f_Q\),整理得:
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\[
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f_Q + R_F - \kappa E[r_Q^2] - \kappa R_F f_Q + \kappa f_Q^2 + \kappa R_F f_Q = R_F
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\]
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\[
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f_Q + R_F - \kappa E[r_Q^2] + \kappa f_Q^2 = R_F
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\]
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\[
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f_Q - \kappa (E[r_Q^2] - f_Q^2) = 0
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\]
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\[
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f_Q - \kappa \sigma_Q^2 = 0
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\]
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所以:
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\[
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\kappa = \frac{f_Q}{\sigma_Q^2} \quad (8A\text{-}22)
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\]
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---
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**最终**:
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\[
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\boxed{v(s) = 1 - \frac{f_Q}{\sigma_Q^2} \cdot (r_Q(s) - f_Q)}
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\]
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这就是 (8A-21) 的完整推导。
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